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Venture Capital Exits Mirror Overall Economic
Woes
VentureWire
By Tomio Geron
October 1, 2008
Against the backdrop of an historic financial crisis, the venture
capital industry's liquidity problems are mounting.
According to new data from Dow Jones VentureSource, mergers and
acquisitions activity and initial public offerings of venture-backed
companies are on pace this year to hit their lowest point this
decade. During the third quarter, venture-backed companies produced
just $4.57 billion through IPOs and M&A, down 66% from the $13.4
billion generated in the year-ago period.
The IPO market continues to be shut off for venture-backed companies,
as only Rackspace Hosting Inc. went public in the third quarter,
compared with 11 such offerings a year ago. Meanwhile, 66 M&A deals
involving venture-backed companies generated $4.4 billion, compared
with 116 deals and $12.7 billion a year earlier.
The numbers look even worse year-to-date. Only seven venture-backed
companies have gone public so far this year, compared with 48 in
the first three quarters of 2007. The lack of IPOs is more pronounced
now than during the dot-com bust earlier this decade, when 13 venture-backed
companies went public in the first three quarters of 2001 and 14
venture-backed firms went public in the first three quarters of
2002.
What's more, just 247 venture-backed companies were bought by
acquirers during the first three quarters of this year, generating
$22.3 billion, down from 327 and $34.1 billion in the same period
last year, according to VentureSource, which is owned by Dow Jones & Co.
publisher of VentureWire. That means 2008 is on pace to see the
lowest amount of M&A deals this decade; the previous low was in
2003, when there were 359 deals that produced $13.2 billion. The
number of deals has fallen for four straight quarters, while the
value has dropped the past five.
Sector-wise there were no bright spots. The number of information
technology exits, which includes software, communications and semiconductors,
took a dive in the third quarter to 48 deals from 74 deals in the
year-ago period. More telling, the total exit dollars in IT was
$2.9 billion, down 60.3% from $7.3 billion in the third quarter
last year, suggesting acquirers are cutting back on spending. Year-to-date,
170 IT companies were acquired for $12.8 billion, versus 207 companies
and $17.9 billion a year ago.
Health care fared poorly as well. Eleven companies were acquired
for a total value of $798 million, compared with $2.5 billion from
15 deals in the third quarter of 2007. Year-to-date, 38 companies
were acquired for $2.9 billion, compared with 43 companies for
$6.5 billion.
Another sector separated out by VentureSource, the business and
financial services category, which had been gaining steam the past
couple of years, showed little signs of life in the third quarter.
Just three companies produced $160.8 million, compared with 22
companies and $2.4 billion a year ago. Deals for the year-to-date
period fell to 28 from 49, while the total value actually rose
to $5.6 billion from $5.2 billion due to a strong showing in the
first quarter this year.
Buyers Be Wary
As companies wait around for exit options, the median time between
a start-up company raising its first round of funding and generating
an exit for investors now sits at about 6.1 years. This has created
an excess of mature companies that have little place to go. For
instance, more than 1,200 companies originally funded in 1999 and
2000 still sit in venture firm's portfolios, according to VentureSource.
Investors say that large companies that typically do acquisitions
are taking a wait-and-see approach to their normal deal making.
"What I hear is, ŚWe're still interested. Let us get back to you,'" said
Bob Ackerman, managing director at Allegis Capital. "When you probe
deeper, it's, ŚWe're going through an internal exercise to recalibrate
ourselves.'"
That recalibration involves reviewing every aspect of a business
in times of uncertainty. Rather than acquiring, some large companies
may be more interested now in spinning off entities that do not
fit their core businesses, Ackerman said.
On the health care side, some venture investors blamed a tightening
regulatory environment that is making it more difficult to get
new medical products approved. That's injecting caution into corporate
acquirers, especially in the medical-device field, said Leslie
Bottorff, general partner of Onset Ventures. And medical device
manufacturers can afford to approach M&A more deliberately because
one of the most aggressive consolidators traditionally, Boston
Scientific Corp., has been less active since it swallowed Guidant
Corp. in 2006, she said.
Yet large device and drug companies still rely on acquisitions
for growth, so some see the third quarter as an aberration that
will be corrected as the economy stabilizes. "I can't explain the
data, but I absolutely think the trend is for more M&A," said Steven
St. Peter, managing director of MPM Capital.
Further hurting the cause for the overall venture industry, M&A
deals have become increasingly difficult due to credit problems.
If an acquiring company wants to buy using debt, such credit is
much more expensive now. "Trying to secure credit for acquisitions
may be harder to do or impossible now," said Lou Bock, managing
director at Scale Venture Partners.
On the other hand, if the company really wants to make a deal,
they may have to dip into precious cash reserves or try to convince
venture investors to take stock despite violent market volatility,
Bock added.
The longer trouble lingers, VCs will be forced to flex their creativity
in order to bring in cash. Pascal Levensohn, founder of early-stage
technology investor Levensohn Venture Partners, expects to see
more mergers involving two venture-backed companies in order to
give them public-market appeal. Investors may also have to look
to sell their stakes to secondary firms or larger private equity
firms that can prop these companies up for another few years.
Valuations Headed South
With the IPO market plugged up, acquirers hold an advantage in
their negotiations with start-ups which have no other place to
go. Valuations, therefore, have been affected for start-ups seeking
an exit, especially on the later stage, where companies are more
easily compared with public companies. The median amount paid for
a venture-backed company in the third quarter was $49 million,
down 46% from $90 million last year.
"Valuations have come down, but they've been down for a while," said
Al Waxman, senior managing member at healthcare investor Psilos
Group. "It's much more rational now."
For some venture firms, this means saying no to a deal in a buyers'
market in hopes of recouping a larger return when markets improve.
"We had somebody approach us about one of our companies, which
is profitable," Waxman said. "But they didn't want to pay us what
we thought we should get. We think its market prospects are good
and we'd rather let it grow further."
Ultimately, venture investors may hold off on putting money into
new companies in favor of continuing to nurture their existing
investments. That could crimp innovation coming out of venture
capital centers such as Silicon Valley. But early-stage investors
say there's plenty of opportunity in times like this to invest
in unique products and team at cheap prices.
"You want to have something people really need that's relatively
unique," said Dan Ahn, managing director at early stage firm Voyager
Capital. "That need doesn't go away with market softness. It's
just an issue of price."
- With reporting by Brian Gormley and Pui-Wing Tam

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